Link strength prediction in global financial networks using optimized BiLSTM models: A case of dynamic cross-market equity networks

Bhattacharjee, Biplab and Mathur, Bhumika (2025) Link strength prediction in global financial networks using optimized BiLSTM models: A case of dynamic cross-market equity networks. In: 2024 International Conference on Modeling, Simulation & Intelligent Computing (MoSICom), 09-11 December 2024, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

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Abstract

This study develops a model to forecast crossmarket linkage strengths for global stock market networks using dynamic edge weight graphs and optimized BiLSTM approach. It uses forty-three global market indices data of 14 years duration. The models are trained using historical network structure data over a series of time steps. Additionally, hyper-parameter tuning is performed to optimize performance. The model is validated using nested cross validation and are benchmarked against XGBoost and Deep Neural Network. Optimized models are experimented using multiple sets of network structures (unfiltered, filtered, low edge weighted networks) and optimum training sizes are obtained. Model trained with unfiltered networks demonstrated better relative predictability.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Keywords: BiLSTM , Financial networks , Edge weight prediction | Global Markets | Deep Learning
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Business, Management and Accounting > Strategy and Management
Social Sciences and humanities > Business, Management and Accounting > Marketing
Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Banking and Finance
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Social Sciences (General)
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Dharmveer Modi
Date Deposited: 17 Mar 2025 15:46
Last Modified: 17 Mar 2025 15:46
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1109/MoSICom63082.2024.10881962
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/9239

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