Emediegwu, Lotanna E and Ubabukoh, Chisom Lotanna (2023) Re-examining the impact of annual weather fluctuations on global livestock production. Ecological Economics, 204: 107662. ISSN 0921-8009
Re-examining the impact of annual weather fluctuations on global livestock production.pdf - Published Version
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Abstract
Attempts to analyze the effect of weather shocks on livestock production have been carried out using integrated assessment models (IAMs) or the cross-sectional (Ricardian) method. However, these methodologies are fraught with obvious shortcomings, such as omitted variable bias, amongst others. This paper, therefore, re-examines the relationship between weather changes and global livestock production using an established econometric strategy that takes care of the pitfalls inherent in the conventional approaches. Using country-level data and a variety of specifications, we find that a 1 °C increase in temperature will lead to a 9.7% reduction in global beef production on average. These adverse effects are amplified in hot, poor, and agriculture-dependent countries. Besides, we find that a marginal increase in annual precipitation would lead to a 2.1% increase in beef production in tropical countries but a 1.9% decrease in temperate ones. Also, our forecasts show that climate change will reduce animal output by a further 20% in the mid-century and an additional 40% by the end of the century assuming no adaptation other than the degree of adaptation observed in the historical period.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | Adaptation | Livestock | Panel Data | Precipitation | Temperature |
Subjects: | Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Economics |
JGU School/Centre: | Jindal Global Law School |
Depositing User: | Amees Mohammad |
Date Deposited: | 25 Nov 2022 04:25 |
Last Modified: | 25 Nov 2022 04:25 |
Official URL: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107662 |
URI: | https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/4850 |
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