What determines the performance of pharmaceutical firms in India on account of COVID-19 interventions?

Lamba, Ashu, Aggarwal, Priti, Gupta, Sachin and Joshipura, Mayank (2024) What determines the performance of pharmaceutical firms in India on account of COVID-19 interventions? International Journal of Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Marketing, 18 (3). pp. 353-374. ISSN 1750-6123

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Abstract

Purpose
This paper aims to examine the impact of announcements related to 77 interventions by 46 listed Indian pharmaceutical firms during COVID-19 on the abnormal returns of the firms. The study also finds the variables which explain cumulative abnormal returns (CARs).

Design/methodology/approach
This study uses standard event methodology to compute the abnormal returns of firms announcing pharmaceutical interventions in 2020 and 2021. Besides this, the multilayer perceptron technique is applied to identify the variables that influence the CARs of the sample firms.

Findings
The results show the presence of abnormal returns of 0.64% one day before the announcement, indicating information leakage. The multilayer perceptron approach identifies five variables that explain the CARs of the sample companies, which are licensing_age, licensing_size, size, commercialization_age and approval_age.

Originality/value
The study contributes to the efficient market literature by revealing how firm-specific nonfinancial disclosures affect stock prices, especially in times of crisis like pandemics. Prior research focused on determining the effect of COVID-19 variables on abnormal returns. This is the first research to use artificial neural networks to determine which firm-specific variables and pharmaceutical interventions can influence CARs.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Event study | Machine learning, | COVID-19 | Pharmaceutical sector | Neural network | India
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Business, Management and Accounting > Strategy and Management
Social Sciences and humanities > Business, Management and Accounting > Business and International Management
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Social Sciences (General)
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Subhajit Bhattacharjee
Date Deposited: 08 Aug 2024 13:09
Last Modified: 08 Aug 2024 13:09
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPHM-05-2023-0039
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/8241

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