Underexplored dimensions of uncertainty and risk in human development policy call for a new paradigm

Singh, Naresh, Patra, Sudip, Chandel, Shivangi, Bhatnagar, Divya and Husain, Syed Shariq (2024) Underexplored dimensions of uncertainty and risk in human development policy call for a new paradigm. World futures. ISSN 0260-4027 | 1556-1844

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Abstract

The human development paradigm like many other development policy domains, old and new, is being challenged by a fundamentally new context that has been described by many as a VUCA world meaning Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous. These factors are of course not independent of each other, but interactive, thus making for a very difficult environment in which public policy must be made. The Human Development Report (HDR) made a wise and topical choice therefore in selecting uncertain unsettled lives as the theme for the 2021–2022 report. This paper first identifies some of the strengths of the current human development policy analysis but then proceeds to outline multiple concrete, though novel, ways of addressing the challenges of uncertain times and unsettled lives. These include the need for unpackaging the concept of uncertainty, highlighting both differences and linkages between risk and uncertainty, and further implications for policymaking. In addition, we discuss new and promising ways of thinking about uncertainty in policy issues around human development including complexity theory and complex adaptive systems thinking as well as quantum-like frameworks. Finally, we discuss applied spirituality which, in our opinion, can be of great value in engaging with unsettled lives. Ours is an attempt to call for a future paradigm in policy thinking, and social and human sciences as a whole

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Ambiguity | Applied spirituality | Complexity | Future paradigm | Human development | Policy | Risk | Quantum-like frameworks | Unawareness | Uncertainty
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Arts and Humanities > Philosophy
JGU School/Centre: Jindal School of Government and Public Policy
Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Subhajit Bhattacharjee
Date Deposited: 03 Mar 2024 10:34
Last Modified: 20 Nov 2024 17:19
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2024.2315264
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/7393

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