Analyzing glacial lake outburst flood triggers for sustainable disaster risk mitigation: an interpretive structural modelling based approach

Trivedi, Ashish, Chauhan, Ankur and Singh, Surya Prakash (2021) Analyzing glacial lake outburst flood triggers for sustainable disaster risk mitigation: an interpretive structural modelling based approach. Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal, 32 (6). pp. 1284-1297. ISSN 14777835

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Abstract

Purpose: Climate change and global warming pose a serious threat to the community as deglaciating environments trigger glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). The Sendai framework underpins the role of disaster risk reduction (DRR) for sustainable development, thereby calling for the development of GLOF hazard and risk assessment procedures. This study aims to delineate the enablers of GLOF risk and establish a contextual relationship between them.

Design/methodology/approach: The risk enablers are identified from the extant GLOF literature, and the experts from disaster management area are consulted to explore the underlying contextual relationship among them. An interpretive structural model is developed from the responses to analyze the contextual relationships among the risk enablers.

Findings: The interpretive structural modeling results manifest that seismic activity, temperature and precipitation events, and proximity are key drivers that trigger flash floods from the lakes and an effective assessment of these triggers may contribute significantly to GLOF risk mitigation.

Originality/value: The study models the complex relationship among the risk enablers for a glacial flood hazard that find commonality across all geographic contexts. The findings provide the practitioners of DRR useful insights into these factors and their subsequent impact on others, while conducting hazard assessment of glacial lakes that may contribute to the sustainable development of settlements lying downstream to glacial lakes.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Disaster mitigation | Glacial lake outburst flood | ISM | Risk assessment | Sustainable development
Subjects: Physical, Life and Health Sciences > Environmental Science, Policy and Law
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Mr. Syed Anas
Date Deposited: 24 Dec 2021 10:54
Last Modified: 24 Dec 2021 10:54
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1108/MEQ-04-2021-0067
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/400

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