Stock Market Response to Economic Policy Uncertainty: Moderating Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic Sentiment

Patnaik, Pooja (2026) Stock Market Response to Economic Policy Uncertainty: Moderating Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic Sentiment. The Empirical Economics Letters, 25. pp. 71-92. ISSN 1681-8997

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Abstract

This study examines the dynamic relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and stock market liquidity, with a particular focus on the moderating role of the COVID-19 pandemic sentiment. Using high-frequency stock market data from Brazil, India, and the USA, we employ wavelet coherence analysis to assess the co-movement between EPU and stock liquidity under varying pandemic sentiment levels derived from Google search volume intensity (SVI). Our findings reveal that heightened policy uncertainty exacerbates market illiquidity, particularly during periods of high pandemic sentiment. Additionally, we uncover a feedback loop where illiquidity often precedes EPU in the short term, while EPU occasionally drives illiquidity. Overall, the study’s insights underscore the critical role of market sentiment in shaping policy responses to financial crises.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Economic Policy Uncertainty | Stock Liquidity, Pandemic Sentiment, COVID 19, Wavelet Analysis
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Banking and Finance
Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Economics
Divisions: Jindal Institute of Behavioural Sciences
Depositing User: Mr. Arjun Dinesh
Date Deposited: 24 Mar 2026 11:14
Last Modified: 24 Mar 2026 11:14
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19199495
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/11068

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