Income Inequality and the Aging--Inflation Nexus: evidence from emerging and developing economies

Mazumder, Jakir Hussain and Diwakar, Bharat (2025) Income Inequality and the Aging--Inflation Nexus: evidence from emerging and developing economies. Empirical Economics, 59. ISSN 1573-9414

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Abstract

This study examines the role of income inequality in shaping the aging-inflation nexus using data from 95 emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) over the period 1990–2023. These economies have experienced both rising income inequality and a gradual increase in share of the older population. The results show that population aging exerts a deflationary effect when income inequality is high, and this finding remains robust across multiple specifications. To explain this relationship, we discuss two underlying mechanisms: first, the decline in labor supply associated with aging reduces the natural rate of output and inflation; and second, the growing of political influence of older populations can foster preferences for lower inflation. Our findings contribute to the broader discussion on macroeconomic stability in the context of demographic transition and inequality. Policy implications include raising the retirement age to enhance labor force participation among the elderly, thereby mitigating income inequality and supporting more balanced macroeconomic outcomes.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Inflation | Population aging | Income inequality | Economic mechanism | Political mechanism
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Econometrics
Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Economics
Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Statistics and Probability
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Mr. Gautam Kumar
Date Deposited: 01 Jan 2026 08:57
Last Modified: 01 Jan 2026 08:57
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-025-09935-7
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/10599

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