Do fertility rates converge? empirical evidence from Indian states

Jha, Debajit and Saha, Jeet (2025) Do fertility rates converge? empirical evidence from Indian states. Indian Economic Review. ISSN 2520-1778 (In Press)

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Abstract

Fertility convergence, a potential outcome during fertility transition, has been examined in previous studies primarily through conventional convergence tests within Indian states. However, the recent rise of the ‘club-convergence hypothesis’ in convergence studies paves the way for studying the club convergence pattern of fertility. Therefore, this study aims to find the club convergence of fertility rates across Indian states. Our findings reveal that although not all states converge, two convergence clubs emerge alongside some divergent states. Further, we find the determinants of forming such convergence clubs, where we conclude factors such as the adoption of family planning methods, mean years of the first marriage of women, and wealth inequality significantly impact the formation of higher order convergence clubs.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Club convergence| Demographic transition | Fertility convergence | Fertility rate of india | Fertility transition | J11 | J13 | J18 | SDG 3.7
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Econometrics
Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Economics
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Public Policy
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Demography
JGU School/Centre: Jindal School of Government and Public Policy
Depositing User: Mr. Arjun Dinesh
Date Deposited: 13 Dec 2025 06:54
Last Modified: 13 Dec 2025 06:54
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41775-025-00251-5
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/10485

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