Unconventional energy resources: A system dynamics evaluation of social, environment and economic aspects

Falebita, Oluwabunmi A., Koul, Saroj and Taylor, Ivan W. (2022) Unconventional energy resources: A system dynamics evaluation of social, environment and economic aspects. International Journal of Energy and Environmental Engineering. ISSN 2251-6832 (In Press)

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This study substantiates the usefulness of a systemic approach to investigate the multi-dimensional challenges regarding environmental, economic, and social impacts facing the sustainable development of unconventional energy resources, particularly oil sands (OS) in Canada. This research uses the system dynamics (SD) methodology to examine the impact of shocks in oil demand using real and theoretical scenarios. This was done by identifying leading indicators critical to OS resource development to capture sustainable development efects. The study identifes the contribution of OS resources in Canada to global sustainable development and has developed a model structure that captures the critical parameters associated with the economic-dynamics, socio-dynamics, and enviro-dynamics for the next 30 years. It also includes the impact of sudden oil supply and demand shocks and presents various recovery scenarios. The results from these scenarios indicate that it may take up to 25 years for the industry to return to its pre-shock trajectory, even assuming a rapid recovery. As such, the study proposes an adaptive model to assist sustainable energy development policies and decision-making. Accordingly, the approach can be helpful for academicians, policymakers, and practitioners for objective decision-making regarding sustainable development. Meanwhile, it provides cogent and valuable information for natural resource governance

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Oil sands | OS|· Sustainable development | Simulation | System dynamics | Oil prices | Canada
Subjects: Physical, Life and Health Sciences > Environmental Science, Policy and Law
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Shilpi Rana
Date Deposited: 24 Jan 2022 11:10
Last Modified: 30 Sep 2022 04:16
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40095-021-00448-3
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/797


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