Nexus between COVID-19 infections, exchange rates, stock market return, and temperature in G7 countries: Novel insights from partial and multiple wavelet coherence

Singh, Sanjeet, Bansal, Pooja, Bhardwaj, Nav and Agrawal, Anirudh (2021) Nexus between COVID-19 infections, exchange rates, stock market return, and temperature in G7 countries: Novel insights from partial and multiple wavelet coherence. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 9: 772783. pp. 1-15. ISSN 2296665X

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Abstract

This study attempts to analyze the time-varying pattern between the exchange rates, stock market return, temperature, and number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in G7 countries caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. We have implemented our analysis using wavelet coherence and partial wavelet coherence (PWC) on independent variables from January 4, 2021 to July 31, 2021. This paper contributes to the earlier work on the same subject by employing wavelet coherence to analyze the effect of the sudden upsurge of the COVID-19 pandemic on exchange rates, stock market returns, and temperature to sustain and improve previous results regarding correlation analysis between the above-mentioned variables. We arrived at the following results: 1) temperature levels and confirmed COVID-19 cases are cyclical indicating daily temperatures have a material bearing on propagating the novel coronavirus in G7nations; 2) noteworthy correlations at truncated frequencies show that a material long-term impact has been observed on exchange rates and stock market returns of G7 and confirmed COVID-19 cases; 3) accounting for impact of temperature and equity market returns, a more robust co-movement is observed between the exchange rate returns of the respective nations and the surge in COVID-19 cases; and accounting for the influence of temperature and exchange rate returns and the increase in the confirmed number of coronavirus-infected cases and equity returns, co-movements are more pronounced. Besides academic contributions, this paper offers insight for policymakers and investment managers alike in their attempt to navigate the impediments created by the coronavirus in their already arduous task of shaping the economy and predicting stock market patterns.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: COVID-19 | Temperature | Stock market return | Exchange rate | G7 | Wavelet coherence
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Economics, Econometrics and Finance > Banking and Finance
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Health (Social sciences)
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Amees Mohammad
Date Deposited: 25 Nov 2021 11:00
Last Modified: 09 Dec 2021 07:33
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.772783
Additional Information: Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. This data can be found here: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/dailycases-COVID-19 https://in.finance.yahoo.com www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/search/data-search/global-summary-of-the-day
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/63

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