Impact of epidemic outbreaks (COVID-19) on global supply chains: A case of trade between Turkey and China

Kazancoglu, Yigit, Ekinci, Esra, Mangla, Sachin Kumar, Sezer, Muruvvet Deniz and Ozbiltekin-Pala, Melisa (2023) Impact of epidemic outbreaks (COVID-19) on global supply chains: A case of trade between Turkey and China. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 85: 101494. pp. 1-11. ISSN 0038-0121

[thumbnail of Impact of epidemic outbreaks (COVID-19) on global supply chains.pdf] Text
Impact of epidemic outbreaks (COVID-19) on global supply chains.pdf - Published Version

Download (2MB)


COVID-19 has negative impacts on supply chain operations between countries. The novelty of the study is to evaluate the sectoral effects of COVID-19 on global supply chains in the example of Turkey and China, considering detailed parameters, thanks to the developed System Dynamics (SD) model. During COVID-19 spread, most of the countries decided long period of lockdowns which impacted the production and supply chains. This had also caused decrease in capacity utilizations and industrial productions in many countries which resulted with imbalance of maritime trade between countries that increased the freight costs. In this study, cause and effect relations of trade parameters, supply chain parameters, demographic data and logistics data on disruptions of global supply chains have been depicted for specifically Turkey and China since China is the biggest importer of Turkey. Due to this disruption, mainly exports from Turkey to China has been impacted in food, chemical and mining sectors. This study is helpful to plan in which sectors; the actions should be taken by the government bodies or managers. Based on findings of this study, new policies such as onshore activities should consider to overcome the logistics and supply chain disruptions in global supply chains. This study has been presented beneficial implications for the government, policymakers and academia.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: COVID-19 | Disruption | Global Supply Chain and Logistics | System Dynamics | Technology | Turkey-China
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Business, Management and Accounting > General Management
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Social Sciences (General)
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Amees Mohammad
Date Deposited: 24 Feb 2023 10:15
Last Modified: 24 Feb 2023 10:15
Official URL:


Downloads per month over past year

Actions (login required)

View Item
View Item