Correlations and volatility spillover from China to Asian and Latin American Countries: Identifying diversification and hedging opportunities

Yadav, Miklesh Prasad, Sharma, Sudhi, Aggarwal, Vaibhav and Bhardwaj, Indira (2022) Correlations and volatility spillover from China to Asian and Latin American Countries: Identifying diversification and hedging opportunities. Cogent Economics and Finance, 10 (1): 2132634. ISSN 2332-2039

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Abstract

China is considered the largest emerging economy and thus investors perceived as an attractive investment. We examine the spillover effect from Chinese stock exchange to stock exchanges of Asia and Latin America, namely, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and Brazil. For empirical purpose, the study employs VARMA-Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model with BEKK, diagonal, Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC), and finally, Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) specifications. DCC model outperforms among others and identifies two diversification opportunities with Mexican (MEXICAN) and Indian stock market (BSE). Finally, the hedge ratio and portfolio weights have been calculated. The hedge ratios between China and Mexico (SSE/MEX), and China and India (SSE/BSE) were 0.01 and 0.06, respectively. This implies that a $1 long position in Chinese market (SSE) could be hedged with a 1 cent short position in Mexico (MEXICAN) and a 6 cent short position in the Indian Market (BSE). The findings of this paper provide an insight into investors and policymakers.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: China | Asia | Latin America | MGARCH | Portfolio weight | Hedge Ratio
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Business, Management and Accounting > General Management
JGU School/Centre: Jindal Global Business School
Depositing User: Amees Mohammad
Date Deposited: 25 Oct 2022 14:20
Last Modified: 23 Feb 2023 04:20
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2132634
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/4724

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