Is the global economy becoming more vulnerable to China's debt situation

Mohan, Deepanshu (2018) Is the global economy becoming more vulnerable to China's debt situation. [Working papers (or Preprints)]

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Abstract

Recently, the IMF head cautioned countries across the globe against the nature of rising debt levels in China and the possibility of China ‘exporting its debt’ to other countries through infrastructural projects (via the One Belt One Road initiative). Analyzing the possibility of debt export from China may be difficult to assess without empirical proof on the actual extent of debt exposure (from China to other countries). However, the note of caution does throw some questions on the extent of macro-economic vulnerability that countries recipient to Chinese foreign investment (including long-term infrastructural loans) face from China’s widening debt situation. China is currently the second largest economy in the world and the biggest trading nation, and is the third-largest bond market. Scholars continue to argue how the Asian Dragon’s expanding geo-economic position along with rising debt levels pose systemic risks to global financial stability. But, how did China’s debt (crisis) situation get this far? What kind of systemic risks does China’s debt situation impose on other recipient countries? And, what can some of these countries do to be more macro-prudent? This article discusses some of these questions.

Item Type: Working papers (or Preprints)
Keywords: Financial crisis in China | Risky FDI in China | Rising debt levels in China
Subjects: Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Social Sciences (General)
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > International Relations
JGU School/Centre: Jindal School of International Affairs
Depositing User: Subhajit Bhattacharjee
Date Deposited: 23 Jun 2022 09:35
Last Modified: 23 Jun 2022 09:35
Official URL: http://dspace.jgu.edu.in:8080/xmlui/bitstream/hand...
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/3487

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