Spatio-Temporal Groundwater Levels in Megacity Delhi (2010–2022): Implications for Urban Drinking-Water Services (DWSF)

Roy, Mimi ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-7238-882X and Chaudhuri, Sriroop ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0380-6128 (2026) Spatio-Temporal Groundwater Levels in Megacity Delhi (2010–2022): Implications for Urban Drinking-Water Services (DWSF). Geographies, 6 (3): 89. Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute . ISSN 2673-7086 Available at: https://doi.org/10.3390/geographies6030089

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Abstract

Rapid urbanization across global South megacities has accelerated the overexploitation of urban aquifers, creating complex socio-hydrological crises that threaten long-term water resilience for a vast population. Conventional urban-water management frequently relies on uniform, city-wide regulatory mandates that fail to account for localized hydrogeological heterogeneities and the socio-economic drivers of private extraction. This study performed a seasonal assessment (post- and pre-monsoon) of groundwater levels (GWLs), across the National Capital Territory of Delhi, India, using a 13-year archival dataset (2010–2022) of 77 ‘common’ wells, with a sequential spatial–statistical framework. No statistically significant ‘seasonality’ was found in GWLs, except for isolated years. About 13% of the observations appeared as ‘deep outliers’, the call for more process-level hydrogeologic investigations. Spatial interpolation via the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) interpolation technique, alongside Global Moran’s I, Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA), and spatially Constrained Hierarchical Cluster Analysis (sHCA), revealed a recurrent spatial pattern: persistent, deep GWLs, within the fracture-dominated, low-yielding Alwar Quartzite (Delhi Ridge) of South and Southeast Delhi. The spatial clustering demonstrates the migration of the deep-GWL hotspots toward the unconfined alluvial aquifers of the Yamuna River floodplains to the east, threatening future baseflow stability. These spatial drawdown patterns represent a structural response to municipal Drinking Water Services Framework (DWSF) deficits, where intermittent supply and informal water markets incentivize the growth of more unregulated and unrestricted private pumping of groundwater. Achieving sustainable urban groundwater governance requires replacing blanket administrative mandates with a more data-driven, micro-zoned socio-hydrological framework across the city—combining area-specific extraction caps, economic instruments for geologically targeted aquifer storage and recovery, informal market regulation, and facilitating more participatory, community-based (Water users Associations, WUA) initiatives in the future to protect groundwater resources in Delhi. However, it requires specialized monitoring data, which is still largely lacking, and detailed investigations involving the aquifer hydrogeology and groundwater pumping patterns.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Groundwater levels (GWLs) | Urban-water supply services framework (DWSF) | Moran’s I | Spatial hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) | UN Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs)
Subjects: Physical, Life and Health Sciences > Environmental Science, Policy and Law
Social Sciences and humanities > Social Sciences > Urban Studies
Vol/Issue no. published date: September 2026
Depositing User: Mr. Syed Anas Ali
Date Deposited: 08 Sep 2026 09:02
Last Modified: 08 Sep 2026 09:02
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.3390/geographies6030089
URI: https://pure.jgu.edu.in/id/eprint/12482

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